Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 12.593685 14.187337 16.022614 18.321008 21.164264 24.624754 29.250839
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.073146 13.126896 15.695791 19.240503 24.172380 31.082470 42.115915
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.539820 11.621474 14.345765 18.320707 24.263086 33.397528 49.992123
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.690805 10.830820 13.741130 18.200869 25.321930 37.298543 62.232205
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.986238 10.128529 13.130511 17.915334 25.986448 40.676242 75.503548
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.478870 9.634962 12.739389 17.871572 26.996716 44.980095 94.147826
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.120757 9.311941 12.550584 18.101280 28.515301 50.867553 123.189015
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.651680 8.782088 11.984480 17.604622 28.538480 53.464031 145.346315
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.342129 8.463651 11.714055 17.575732 29.476561 58.684808 187.021810
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.943609 7.980749 11.136394 16.918466 28.960728 59.899031 213.047499
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.540374 7.466699 10.470440 16.027393 27.782844 58.861814 225.420142
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.198426 7.030073 9.903975 15.269388 26.790205 58.108942 240.136328
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.340292 7.371962 10.681044 17.214281 32.635422 83.259577 671.395072
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.272468 7.372716 10.875575 18.048827 36.116605 104.558560 1939.714903
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.963955 6.960260 10.306612 17.213650 34.862571 103.990246 2545.231631
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.784963 6.752046 10.088574 17.104681 35.659241 114.613359 7493.463397
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.600013 6.523514 9.816636 16.844903 35.957726 123.229529 47035.716513
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.458464 6.360240 9.652434 16.805071 36.932660 137.566630 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.358530 6.261783 9.600728 17.014098 38.783715 161.581160 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.185397 6.029403 9.281083 16.561989 38.307092 167.308671 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.073857 5.898346 9.146514 16.535671 39.325046 188.799196 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.903585 5.658246 8.788867 15.936358 38.144361 187.349899 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.717361 5.384537 8.355100 15.122082 36.051769 174.590057 NaN